Feyenoord vs Ajax prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Feyenoord favourites to beat Ajax at home in the Eredivisie on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 13:30 UTC. It gives Feyenoord a 52% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Ajax 24%.
GossipBall expects 2.0 goals from Feyenoord and 1.3 from Ajax, so goals look likely: there is a 64% chance of three or more goals and a 64% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Feyenoord keep a clean sheet in 27% of outcomes, Ajax in 14%.
Feyenoord are 2nd in the table with 25 points from 12 games; Ajax are 3rd with 25. In their last five league games Feyenoord took 8 points (WWDDL) and Ajax took 11 (DWWWD). This season Feyenoord average 2.55 expected goals (xG) for and 1.07 against per game; Ajax average 2.13 for and 1.43 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Feyenoord won 3, Ajax won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Mar 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.3 goals in total: 1.98 for Feyenoord and 1.33 for Ajax.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Feyenoord won 3, Ajax won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Mar 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Feyenoord vs Ajax?
GossipBall gives Feyenoord a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ajax 24%. GossipBall makes Feyenoord favourites to beat Ajax at home.
What is the predicted score for Feyenoord vs Ajax?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.0 for Feyenoord, 1.3 for Ajax). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (7%).
Will both teams score in Feyenoord vs Ajax?
GossipBall gives a 64% chance that both Feyenoord and Ajax score.
Will there be three or more goals in Feyenoord vs Ajax?
There is a 64% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.3 goals in total (2.0 for Feyenoord, 1.3 for Ajax).
When is Feyenoord vs Ajax?
Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 13:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Feyenoord and Ajax?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Feyenoord won 3, Ajax won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Mar 2026, was a 1–1 draw.