EredivisieMatchday 14Sunday 29 November 2026 ·

Feyenoord vs Ajax prediction

52%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.5% chance
24%
draw
24%
away win
Win probability: home 52%, draw 24%, away 24%

Predict the score

How points work

Play the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.

Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Feyenoord favourites to beat Ajax at home in the Eredivisie on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 13:30 UTC. It gives Feyenoord a 52% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Ajax 24%.

GossipBall expects 2.0 goals from Feyenoord and 1.3 from Ajax, so goals look likely: there is a 64% chance of three or more goals and a 64% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Feyenoord keep a clean sheet in 27% of outcomes, Ajax in 14%.

Feyenoord are 2nd in the table with 25 points from 12 games; Ajax are 3rd with 25. In their last five league games Feyenoord took 8 points (WWDDL) and Ajax took 11 (DWWWD). This season Feyenoord average 2.55 expected goals (xG) for and 1.07 against per game; Ajax average 2.13 for and 1.43 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Feyenoord won 3, Ajax won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Mar 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
5
4
3
1
<1
<1
1
6
11
6
3
<1
<1
2
7
10
6
3
<1
<1
3
5
6
4
2
<1
<1
4
2
3
2
<1
<1
5
<1
1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Feyenoord goalsColumns: Ajax goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–110.8%
2–19.5%
2–07.2%
1–26.4%
2–26.3%
3–16.3%
1 or more goals
95%
2 or more goals
85%
3 or more goals
64%
4 or more goals
42%
5 or more goals
24%
Both teams score
64%

GossipBall expects 3.3 goals in total: 1.98 for Feyenoord and 1.33 for Ajax.

Winning margin

Explained
Feyenoord by 3
9%
Feyenoord by 2
16%
Feyenoord by 1
21%
Draw
24%
Ajax by 3
3%
Ajax by 2
7%
Ajax by 1
14%

Each team's goals

Explained
Feyenoord expected goals1.98
Ajax expected goals1.33
Feyenoord keep a clean sheet27%
Ajax keep a clean sheet14%
Feyenoord win without conceding22%
Ajax win without conceding9%
Feyenoord score 2 or more59%
Ajax score 2 or more38%

Recent form

Feyenoord
L @ Heerenveen3–5 · 8 Nov
D v Fortuna Sittard1–1 · 31 Oct
D @ PSV Eindhoven1–1 · 25 Oct
W @ Telstar4–3 · 17 Oct
W v AZ Alkmaar2–0 · 10 Oct
Ajax
D @ Twente2–2 · 8 Nov
W v AZ Alkmaar1–0 · 31 Oct
W @ Sparta Rotterdam2–1 · 25 Oct
W @ Groningen5–2 · 18 Oct
D v NEC Nijmegen1–1 · 10 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Feyenoord won 3, Ajax won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Mar 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

Feyenoord 1–1 Ajax22 Mar 2026
Ajax 2–0 Feyenoord14 Dec 2025
Ajax 2–1 Feyenoord2 Feb 2025
Feyenoord 0–2 Ajax30 Oct 2024
Feyenoord 6–0 Ajax7 Apr 2024
Ajax 0–4 Feyenoord27 Sep 2023

Season averages per game

FEYAJA
3.00
Goals
2.67
1.42
Conceded
1.25
2.55
xG
2.13
1.07
xG against
1.43
19.2
Shots
19.8
7.8
On target
6.7
5.8
Corners
5.8
1.17
Yellow cards
2.08
33%
Clean sheets
25%
67%
Both score
75%
67%
3+ goals
75%

Questions and answers

Who will win Feyenoord vs Ajax?

GossipBall gives Feyenoord a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ajax 24%. GossipBall makes Feyenoord favourites to beat Ajax at home.

What is the predicted score for Feyenoord vs Ajax?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.0 for Feyenoord, 1.3 for Ajax). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (7%).

Will both teams score in Feyenoord vs Ajax?

GossipBall gives a 64% chance that both Feyenoord and Ajax score.

Will there be three or more goals in Feyenoord vs Ajax?

There is a 64% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.3 goals in total (2.0 for Feyenoord, 1.3 for Ajax).

When is Feyenoord vs Ajax?

Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 13:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Feyenoord and Ajax?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Feyenoord won 3, Ajax won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Mar 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

Sign in to play Sign in
Prediction gamePlay now
Leagues
About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC