EredivisieMatchday 14Sunday 29 November 2026 ·

Fortuna Sittard vs Heerenveen prediction

32%
home win
predicted score
1–2
8.9% chance
27%
draw
40%
away win
Win probability: home 32%, draw 27%, away 40%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Heerenveen slight favourites to beat Fortuna Sittard away from home in the Eredivisie on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 13:30 UTC. It gives Fortuna Sittard a 32% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Heerenveen 40%.

GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from Fortuna Sittard and 1.5 from Heerenveen, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 55% chance of three or more goals and a 60% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Fortuna Sittard keep a clean sheet in 22% of outcomes, Heerenveen in 26%.

Fortuna Sittard are 7th in the table with 20 points from 12 games; Heerenveen are 6th with 21. In their last five league games Fortuna Sittard took 7 points (DDWDD) and Heerenveen took 12 (LWWWW). This season Fortuna Sittard average 0.95 expected goals (xG) for and 2.06 against per game; Heerenveen average 1.53 for and 1.42 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Fortuna Sittard won 4, Heerenveen won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Apr 2026, finished Heerenveen 2–1 Fortuna Sittard, a win for Heerenveen.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
7
7
7
3
1
<1
1
6
13
9
5
2
<1
2
5
8
6
3
1
<1
3
2
4
3
1
<1
<1
4
<1
1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Fortuna Sittard goalsColumns: Heerenveen goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–112.9%
1–28.9%
2–17.8%
0–17.1%
0–06.9%
0–26.5%
1 or more goals
93%
2 or more goals
80%
3 or more goals
55%
4 or more goals
33%
5 or more goals
17%
Both teams score
60%

GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.36 for Fortuna Sittard and 1.54 for Heerenveen.

Winning margin

Explained
Fortuna Sittard by 3
4%
Fortuna Sittard by 2
10%
Fortuna Sittard by 1
17%
Draw
27%
Heerenveen by 3
5%
Heerenveen by 2
12%
Heerenveen by 1
20%

Each team's goals

Explained
Fortuna Sittard expected goals1.36
Heerenveen expected goals1.54
Fortuna Sittard keep a clean sheet22%
Heerenveen keep a clean sheet26%
Fortuna Sittard win without conceding15%
Heerenveen win without conceding19%
Fortuna Sittard score 2 or more39%
Heerenveen score 2 or more45%

Recent form

Fortuna Sittard
D v Telstar2–2 · 7 Nov
D @ Feyenoord1–1 · 31 Oct
W v Excelsior1–0 · 25 Oct
D @ NEC Nijmegen2–2 · 18 Oct
D v Twente1–1 · 10 Oct
Heerenveen
W v Feyenoord5–3 · 8 Nov
W v NEC Nijmegen1–0 · 31 Oct
W @ Den Haag3–2 · 24 Oct
W v Excelsior4–0 · 16 Oct
L @ PSV Eindhoven0–2 · 9 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Fortuna Sittard won 4, Heerenveen won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Apr 2026, finished Heerenveen 2–1 Fortuna Sittard, a win for Heerenveen.

Heerenveen 2–1 Fortuna Sittard25 Apr 2026
Fortuna Sittard 2–0 Heerenveen8 Nov 2025
Heerenveen 2–2 Fortuna Sittard1 Feb 2025
Fortuna Sittard 3–0 Heerenveen2 Nov 2024
Fortuna Sittard 3–3 Heerenveen3 Feb 2024
Heerenveen 3–0 Fortuna Sittard25 Nov 2023

Season averages per game

SITHEE
1.67
Goals
2.00
1.67
Conceded
1.33
0.95
xG
1.53
2.06
xG against
1.42
9.8
Shots
14.9
4.3
On target
5.8
2.7
Corners
4.8
1.58
Yellow cards
1.08
17%
Clean sheets
42%
75%
Both score
42%
58%
3+ goals
58%

Questions and answers

Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs Heerenveen?

GossipBall gives Fortuna Sittard a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Heerenveen 40%. GossipBall makes Heerenveen slight favourites to beat Fortuna Sittard away from home.

What is the predicted score for Fortuna Sittard vs Heerenveen?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.4 for Fortuna Sittard, 1.5 for Heerenveen). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).

Will both teams score in Fortuna Sittard vs Heerenveen?

GossipBall gives a 60% chance that both Fortuna Sittard and Heerenveen score.

Will there be three or more goals in Fortuna Sittard vs Heerenveen?

There is a 55% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.4 for Fortuna Sittard, 1.5 for Heerenveen).

When is Fortuna Sittard vs Heerenveen?

Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 13:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Fortuna Sittard and Heerenveen?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Fortuna Sittard won 4, Heerenveen won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Apr 2026, finished Heerenveen 2–1 Fortuna Sittard, a win for Heerenveen.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC