EredivisieMatchday 15Sunday 6 December 2026 ·

Heerenveen vs Cambuur prediction

54%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.5% chance
23%
draw
23%
away win
Win probability: home 54%, draw 23%, away 23%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Heerenveen favourites to beat Cambuur at home in the Eredivisie on Sunday 6 December 2026 at 11:15 UTC. It gives Heerenveen a 54% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Cambuur 23%.

GossipBall expects 2.1 goals from Heerenveen and 1.3 from Cambuur, so goals look likely: there is a 67% chance of three or more goals and a 66% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Heerenveen keep a clean sheet in 26% of outcomes, Cambuur in 12%.

Heerenveen are 6th in the table with 21 points from 12 games; Cambuur are 10th with 15. In their last five league games Heerenveen took 12 points (LWWWW) and Cambuur took 10 (WDWWL). This season Heerenveen average 1.53 expected goals (xG) for and 1.42 against per game; Cambuur average 1.34 for and 1.74 against.

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Heerenveen won 3, Cambuur won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 19 Feb 2023, finished Cambuur 1–2 Heerenveen, a win for Heerenveen.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
4
3
3
1
<1
<1
1
6
10
6
3
<1
<1
2
7
9
6
3
<1
<1
3
5
7
4
2
<1
<1
4
3
3
2
1
<1
5
1
1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Heerenveen goalsColumns: Cambuur goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–110.1%
2–19.5%
2–07.1%
3–16.6%
2–26.3%
1–26.0%
1 or more goals
96%
2 or more goals
87%
3 or more goals
67%
4 or more goals
45%
5 or more goals
26%
Both teams score
66%

GossipBall expects 3.4 goals in total: 2.10 for Heerenveen and 1.34 for Cambuur.

Winning margin

Explained
Heerenveen by 3
10%
Heerenveen by 2
17%
Heerenveen by 1
21%
Draw
23%
Cambuur by 3
2%
Cambuur by 2
7%
Cambuur by 1
13%

Each team's goals

Explained
Heerenveen expected goals2.10
Cambuur expected goals1.34
Heerenveen keep a clean sheet26%
Cambuur keep a clean sheet12%
Heerenveen win without conceding22%
Cambuur win without conceding8%
Heerenveen score 2 or more62%
Cambuur score 2 or more39%

Recent form

Heerenveen
W v Feyenoord5–3 · 8 Nov
W v NEC Nijmegen1–0 · 31 Oct
W @ Den Haag3–2 · 24 Oct
W v Excelsior4–0 · 16 Oct
L @ PSV Eindhoven0–2 · 9 Oct
Cambuur
L v PSV Eindhoven2–5 · 8 Nov
W v Go Ahead Eagles4–0 · 31 Oct
W @ Willem II6–1 · 24 Oct
D v AZ Alkmaar2–2 · 18 Oct
W @ Zwolle1–0 · 11 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Heerenveen won 3, Cambuur won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 19 Feb 2023, finished Cambuur 1–2 Heerenveen, a win for Heerenveen.

Cambuur 1–2 Heerenveen19 Feb 2023
Heerenveen 2–1 Cambuur13 Nov 2022
Heerenveen 3–3 Cambuur1 May 2022
Cambuur 1–2 Heerenveen19 Dec 2021

Season averages per game

HEECAM
2.00
Goals
2.08
1.33
Conceded
2.25
1.53
xG
1.34
1.42
xG against
1.74
14.9
Shots
12.6
5.8
On target
5.0
4.8
Corners
3.8
1.08
Yellow cards
1.83
42%
Clean sheets
25%
42%
Both score
67%
58%
3+ goals
83%

Questions and answers

Who will win Heerenveen vs Cambuur?

GossipBall gives Heerenveen a 54% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cambuur 23%. GossipBall makes Heerenveen favourites to beat Cambuur at home.

What is the predicted score for Heerenveen vs Cambuur?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.1 for Heerenveen, 1.3 for Cambuur). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (7%).

Will both teams score in Heerenveen vs Cambuur?

GossipBall gives a 66% chance that both Heerenveen and Cambuur score.

Will there be three or more goals in Heerenveen vs Cambuur?

There is a 67% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.4 goals in total (2.1 for Heerenveen, 1.3 for Cambuur).

When is Heerenveen vs Cambuur?

Kick-off is Sunday 6 December 2026 at 11:15 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Heerenveen and Cambuur?

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Heerenveen won 3, Cambuur won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 19 Feb 2023, finished Cambuur 1–2 Heerenveen, a win for Heerenveen.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC