EredivisieMatchday 13Saturday 21 November 2026 ·

Utrecht vs Cambuur prediction

56%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.7% chance
23%
draw
21%
away win
Win probability: home 56%, draw 23%, away 21%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Utrecht favourites to beat Cambuur at home in the Eredivisie on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 17:45 UTC. It gives Utrecht a 56% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Cambuur 21%.

GossipBall expects 2.1 goals from Utrecht and 1.3 from Cambuur, so goals look likely: there is a 65% chance of three or more goals and a 64% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Utrecht keep a clean sheet in 29% of outcomes, Cambuur in 12%.

Utrecht are 12th in the table with 12 points from 11 games; Cambuur are 9th with 15. In their last five league games Utrecht took 7 points (LWWDL) and Cambuur took 11 (DWDWW). This season Utrecht average 1.39 expected goals (xG) for and 1.84 against per game; Cambuur average 1.37 for and 1.67 against.

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Utrecht won 2, Cambuur won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 6 May 2023, finished Cambuur 0–3 Utrecht, a win for Utrecht.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
5
3
3
1
<1
1
6
10
6
2
<1
<1
2
8
10
6
3
<1
<1
3
5
7
4
2
<1
<1
4
3
4
2
<1
<1
5
1
2
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Utrecht goalsColumns: Cambuur goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–110.3%
2–19.7%
2–07.7%
3–16.8%
1–06.2%
2–26.0%
1 or more goals
95%
2 or more goals
86%
3 or more goals
65%
4 or more goals
43%
5 or more goals
25%
Both teams score
64%

GossipBall expects 3.4 goals in total: 2.10 for Utrecht and 1.25 for Cambuur.

Winning margin

Explained
Utrecht by 3
10%
Utrecht by 2
17%
Utrecht by 1
21%
Draw
23%
Cambuur by 3
2%
Cambuur by 2
6%
Cambuur by 1
12%

Each team's goals

Explained
Utrecht expected goals2.10
Cambuur expected goals1.25
Utrecht keep a clean sheet29%
Cambuur keep a clean sheet12%
Utrecht win without conceding24%
Cambuur win without conceding8%
Utrecht score 2 or more62%
Cambuur score 2 or more36%

Recent form

Utrecht
L @ Telstar2–4 · 1 Nov
D v Zwolle1–1 · 24 Oct
W @ Twente2–1 · 18 Oct
W v Willem II3–1 · 11 Oct
L @ Feyenoord0–5 · 20 Sep
Cambuur
W v Go Ahead Eagles4–0 · 31 Oct
W @ Willem II6–1 · 24 Oct
D v AZ Alkmaar2–2 · 18 Oct
W @ Zwolle1–0 · 11 Oct
D @ Den Haag1–1 · 19 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Utrecht won 2, Cambuur won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 6 May 2023, finished Cambuur 0–3 Utrecht, a win for Utrecht.

Cambuur 0–3 Utrecht6 May 2023
Utrecht 0–0 Cambuur13 Aug 2022
Utrecht 3–2 Cambuur5 Feb 2022
Cambuur 2–1 Utrecht21 Nov 2021

Season averages per game

UTRCAM
1.73
Goals
2.09
2.82
Conceded
2.00
1.39
xG
1.37
1.84
xG against
1.67
13.9
Shots
12.8
4.5
On target
5.2
4.5
Corners
4.1
2.09
Yellow cards
1.73
0%
Clean sheets
27%
91%
Both score
64%
91%
3+ goals
82%

Questions and answers

Who will win Utrecht vs Cambuur?

GossipBall gives Utrecht a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cambuur 21%. GossipBall makes Utrecht favourites to beat Cambuur at home.

What is the predicted score for Utrecht vs Cambuur?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.1 for Utrecht, 1.3 for Cambuur). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (8%).

Will both teams score in Utrecht vs Cambuur?

GossipBall gives a 64% chance that both Utrecht and Cambuur score.

Will there be three or more goals in Utrecht vs Cambuur?

There is a 65% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.4 goals in total (2.1 for Utrecht, 1.3 for Cambuur).

When is Utrecht vs Cambuur?

Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 17:45 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Utrecht and Cambuur?

In 4 league meetings since 2021, Utrecht won 2, Cambuur won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 6 May 2023, finished Cambuur 0–3 Utrecht, a win for Utrecht.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC