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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Alaves slight favourites to beat Deportivo La Coruña at home in La Liga on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 13:00 UTC. It gives Alaves a 40% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives Deportivo La Coruña 33%.
GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Alaves and 1.1 from Deportivo La Coruña, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 41% chance of three or more goals and a 47% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Alaves keep a clean sheet in 33% of outcomes, Deportivo La Coruña in 29%.
Alaves are 11th in the table with 12 points from 11 games; Deportivo La Coruña are 8th with 14. In their last five league games Alaves took 2 points (DLLDL) and Deportivo La Coruña took 5 (DLDLW). This season Alaves average 1.27 expected goals (xG) for and 1.36 against per game; Deportivo La Coruña average 1.27 for and 1.18 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.3 goals in total: 1.24 for Alaves and 1.10 for Deportivo La Coruña.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruña?
GossipBall gives Alaves a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Deportivo La Coruña 33%. GossipBall makes Alaves slight favourites to beat Deportivo La Coruña at home.
What is the predicted score for Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruña?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.2 for Alaves, 1.1 for Deportivo La Coruña). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (11%).
Will both teams score in Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruña?
GossipBall gives a 47% chance that both Alaves and Deportivo La Coruña score.
Will there be three or more goals in Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruña?
There is a 41% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.3 goals in total (1.2 for Alaves, 1.1 for Deportivo La Coruña).
When is Alaves vs Deportivo La Coruña?
Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 13:00 UTC.