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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Atlético Madrid favourites to beat Getafe away from home in La Liga on Sunday 22 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives Getafe a 24% chance of winning, puts the draw at 30% and gives Atlético Madrid 47%.
GossipBall expects 0.8 goals from Getafe and 1.2 from Atlético Madrid, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 31% chance of three or more goals and a 37% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 0–2. Getafe keep a clean sheet in 30% of outcomes, Atlético Madrid in 47%.
Getafe are 13th in the table with 12 points from 11 games; Atlético Madrid are 2nd with 28. In their last five league games Getafe took 7 points (WLDLW) and Atlético Madrid took 15 (WWWWW). This season Getafe average 0.70 expected goals (xG) for and 1.30 against per game; Atlético Madrid average 1.61 for and 1.09 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Getafe won 1, Atlético Madrid won 7 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Mar 2026, finished Atlético Madrid 1–0 Getafe, a win for Atlético Madrid.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 0–1 (17%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.0 goals in total: 0.76 for Getafe and 1.21 for Atlético Madrid.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Getafe won 1, Atlético Madrid won 7 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Mar 2026, finished Atlético Madrid 1–0 Getafe, a win for Atlético Madrid.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Getafe vs Atlético Madrid?
GossipBall gives Getafe a 24% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Atlético Madrid 47%. GossipBall makes Atlético Madrid favourites to beat Getafe away from home.
What is the predicted score for Getafe vs Atlético Madrid?
GossipBall's predicted score is 0–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (0.8 for Getafe, 1.2 for Atlético Madrid). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 0–1 (17%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%).
Will both teams score in Getafe vs Atlético Madrid?
GossipBall gives a 37% chance that both Getafe and Atlético Madrid score.
Will there be three or more goals in Getafe vs Atlético Madrid?
There is a 31% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.0 goals in total (0.8 for Getafe, 1.2 for Atlético Madrid).
When is Getafe vs Atlético Madrid?
Kick-off is Sunday 22 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Getafe and Atlético Madrid?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Getafe won 1, Atlético Madrid won 7 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Mar 2026, finished Atlético Madrid 1–0 Getafe, a win for Atlético Madrid.