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Paris Saint-Germain vs Lorient prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Paris Saint-Germain clear favourites to beat Lorient at home in Ligue 1 on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Paris Saint-Germain a 73% chance of winning, puts the draw at 17% and gives Lorient 10%.
GossipBall expects 2.5 goals from Paris Saint-Germain and 0.8 from Lorient, so goals look likely: there is a 64% chance of three or more goals and a 51% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 3–0. Paris Saint-Germain keep a clean sheet in 44% of outcomes, Lorient in 9%.
Paris Saint-Germain are 1st in the table with 23 points from 10 games; Lorient are 10th with 15. In their last five league games Paris Saint-Germain took 15 points (WWWWW) and Lorient took 10 (WWDLW). This season Paris Saint-Germain average 2.60 expected goals (xG) for and 1.20 against per game; Lorient average 1.21 for and 1.05 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Paris Saint-Germain won 3, Lorient won 1 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, was a 2–2 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–0 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.3 goals in total: 2.46 for Paris Saint-Germain and 0.82 for Lorient.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 8 league meetings since 2021, Paris Saint-Germain won 3, Lorient won 1 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, was a 2–2 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Paris Saint-Germain vs Lorient?
GossipBall gives Paris Saint-Germain a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Lorient 10%. GossipBall makes Paris Saint-Germain clear favourites to beat Lorient at home.
What is the predicted score for Paris Saint-Germain vs Lorient?
GossipBall's predicted score is 3–0, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.5 for Paris Saint-Germain, 0.8 for Lorient). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–0 (11%), 3–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in Paris Saint-Germain vs Lorient?
GossipBall gives a 51% chance that both Paris Saint-Germain and Lorient score.
Will there be three or more goals in Paris Saint-Germain vs Lorient?
There is a 64% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.3 goals in total (2.5 for Paris Saint-Germain, 0.8 for Lorient).
When is Paris Saint-Germain vs Lorient?
Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Paris Saint-Germain and Lorient?
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Paris Saint-Germain won 3, Lorient won 1 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, was a 2–2 draw.