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Paris Saint-Germain vs Paris FC prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Paris Saint-Germain clear favourites to beat Paris FC at home in Ligue 1 on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 16:15 UTC. It gives Paris Saint-Germain a 65% chance of winning, puts the draw at 20% and gives Paris FC 15%.
GossipBall expects 2.2 goals from Paris Saint-Germain and 1.0 from Paris FC, so goals look likely: there is a 61% chance of three or more goals and a 55% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Paris Saint-Germain keep a clean sheet in 39% of outcomes, Paris FC in 11%.
Paris Saint-Germain are 1st in the table with 23 points from 10 games; Paris FC are 3rd with 20. In their last five league games Paris Saint-Germain took 15 points (WWWWW) and Paris FC took 9 (LWLWW). This season Paris Saint-Germain average 2.60 expected goals (xG) for and 1.20 against per game; Paris FC average 1.72 for and 0.97 against.
In 2 league meetings since 2026, Paris Saint-Germain won 1, Paris FC won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 May 2026, finished Paris FC 2–1 Paris Saint-Germain, a win for Paris FC.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–0 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total: 2.21 for Paris Saint-Germain and 0.95 for Paris FC.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 2 league meetings since 2026, Paris Saint-Germain won 1, Paris FC won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 May 2026, finished Paris FC 2–1 Paris Saint-Germain, a win for Paris FC.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Paris Saint-Germain vs Paris FC?
GossipBall gives Paris Saint-Germain a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Paris FC 15%. GossipBall makes Paris Saint-Germain clear favourites to beat Paris FC at home.
What is the predicted score for Paris Saint-Germain vs Paris FC?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.2 for Paris Saint-Germain, 1.0 for Paris FC). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in Paris Saint-Germain vs Paris FC?
GossipBall gives a 55% chance that both Paris Saint-Germain and Paris FC score.
Will there be three or more goals in Paris Saint-Germain vs Paris FC?
There is a 61% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (2.2 for Paris Saint-Germain, 1.0 for Paris FC).
When is Paris Saint-Germain vs Paris FC?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 16:15 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Paris Saint-Germain and Paris FC?
In 2 league meetings since 2026, Paris Saint-Germain won 1, Paris FC won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 May 2026, finished Paris FC 2–1 Paris Saint-Germain, a win for Paris FC.