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Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Aston Villa favourites to beat Crystal Palace at home in the Premier League on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Aston Villa a 53% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Crystal Palace 22%.
GossipBall expects 1.8 goals from Aston Villa and 1.1 from Crystal Palace, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 57% chance of three or more goals and a 58% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Aston Villa keep a clean sheet in 33% of outcomes, Crystal Palace in 16%.
Aston Villa are 10th in the table with 13 points from 10 games; Crystal Palace are 20th with 7. In their last five league games Aston Villa took 9 points (DWWDD) and Crystal Palace took 3 (WLLLL). This season Aston Villa average 1.37 expected goals (xG) for and 1.86 against per game; Crystal Palace average 1.38 for and 2.19 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Aston Villa won 3, Crystal Palace won 4 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Jan 2026, was a 0–0 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.83 for Aston Villa and 1.12 for Crystal Palace.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Aston Villa won 3, Crystal Palace won 4 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Jan 2026, was a 0–0 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace?
GossipBall gives Aston Villa a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Crystal Palace 22%. GossipBall makes Aston Villa favourites to beat Crystal Palace at home.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.8 for Aston Villa, 1.1 for Crystal Palace). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%).
Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace?
GossipBall gives a 58% chance that both Aston Villa and Crystal Palace score.
Will there be three or more goals in Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace?
There is a 57% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (1.8 for Aston Villa, 1.1 for Crystal Palace).
When is Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace?
Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Aston Villa and Crystal Palace?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Aston Villa won 3, Crystal Palace won 4 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Jan 2026, was a 0–0 draw.