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Aston Villa vs Everton prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Aston Villa favourites to beat Everton at home in the Premier League on Wednesday 2 December 2026 at 20:15 UTC. It gives Aston Villa a 47% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives Everton 26%.
GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Aston Villa and 1.1 from Everton, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 48% chance of three or more goals and a 53% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Aston Villa keep a clean sheet in 34% of outcomes, Everton in 22%.
Aston Villa are 10th in the table with 13 points from 10 games; Everton are 6th with 16. In their last five league games Aston Villa took 9 points (DWWDD) and Everton took 7 (DLLWW). This season Aston Villa average 1.37 expected goals (xG) for and 1.86 against per game; Everton average 1.36 for and 1.44 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Aston Villa won 7, Everton won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2026, finished Aston Villa 0–1 Everton, a win for Everton.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.53 for Aston Villa and 1.07 for Everton.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Aston Villa won 7, Everton won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2026, finished Aston Villa 0–1 Everton, a win for Everton.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Aston Villa vs Everton?
GossipBall gives Aston Villa a 47% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Everton 26%. GossipBall makes Aston Villa favourites to beat Everton at home.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Everton?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.5 for Aston Villa, 1.1 for Everton). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in Aston Villa vs Everton?
GossipBall gives a 53% chance that both Aston Villa and Everton score.
Will there be three or more goals in Aston Villa vs Everton?
There is a 48% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.5 for Aston Villa, 1.1 for Everton).
When is Aston Villa vs Everton?
Kick-off is Wednesday 2 December 2026 at 20:15 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Aston Villa and Everton?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Aston Villa won 7, Everton won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 18 Jan 2026, finished Aston Villa 0–1 Everton, a win for Everton.