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Chelsea vs Crystal Palace prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Chelsea favourites to beat Crystal Palace at home in the Premier League on Wednesday 2 December 2026 at 19:30 UTC. It gives Chelsea a 54% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Crystal Palace 21%.
GossipBall expects 1.9 goals from Chelsea and 1.1 from Crystal Palace, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 57% chance of three or more goals and a 57% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Chelsea keep a clean sheet in 33% of outcomes, Crystal Palace in 16%.
Chelsea are 5th in the table with 16 points from 10 games; Crystal Palace are 20th with 7. In their last five league games Chelsea took 9 points (WWLWL) and Crystal Palace took 3 (WLLLL). This season Chelsea average 1.35 expected goals (xG) for and 1.50 against per game; Crystal Palace average 1.38 for and 2.19 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Chelsea won 7, Crystal Palace won 0 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Jan 2026, finished Crystal Palace 1–3 Chelsea, a win for Chelsea.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.85 for Chelsea and 1.10 for Crystal Palace.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Chelsea won 7, Crystal Palace won 0 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Jan 2026, finished Crystal Palace 1–3 Chelsea, a win for Chelsea.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Chelsea vs Crystal Palace?
GossipBall gives Chelsea a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Crystal Palace 21%. GossipBall makes Chelsea favourites to beat Crystal Palace at home.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Crystal Palace?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.9 for Chelsea, 1.1 for Crystal Palace). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%).
Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Crystal Palace?
GossipBall gives a 57% chance that both Chelsea and Crystal Palace score.
Will there be three or more goals in Chelsea vs Crystal Palace?
There is a 57% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (1.9 for Chelsea, 1.1 for Crystal Palace).
When is Chelsea vs Crystal Palace?
Kick-off is Wednesday 2 December 2026 at 19:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Chelsea and Crystal Palace?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Chelsea won 7, Crystal Palace won 0 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Jan 2026, finished Crystal Palace 1–3 Chelsea, a win for Chelsea.