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Chelsea vs Liverpool prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Liverpool slight favourites to beat Chelsea away from home in the Premier League on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 12:30 UTC. It gives Chelsea a 35% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Liverpool 40%.
GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Chelsea and 1.6 from Liverpool, so goals look likely: there is a 61% chance of three or more goals and a 64% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Chelsea keep a clean sheet in 20% of outcomes, Liverpool in 22%.
Chelsea are 5th in the table with 16 points from 10 games; Liverpool are 4th with 18. In their last five league games Chelsea took 9 points (WWLWL) and Liverpool took 9 (LWWLW). This season Chelsea average 1.35 expected goals (xG) for and 1.50 against per game; Liverpool average 1.58 for and 1.31 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Chelsea won 2, Liverpool won 2 and 6 were drawn; the most recent, on 9 May 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total: 1.52 for Chelsea and 1.63 for Liverpool.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Chelsea won 2, Liverpool won 2 and 6 were drawn; the most recent, on 9 May 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Chelsea vs Liverpool?
GossipBall gives Chelsea a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Liverpool 40%. GossipBall makes Liverpool slight favourites to beat Chelsea away from home.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Liverpool?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.5 for Chelsea, 1.6 for Liverpool). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
Will both teams score in Chelsea vs Liverpool?
GossipBall gives a 64% chance that both Chelsea and Liverpool score.
Will there be three or more goals in Chelsea vs Liverpool?
There is a 61% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total (1.5 for Chelsea, 1.6 for Liverpool).
When is Chelsea vs Liverpool?
Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 12:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Chelsea and Liverpool?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Chelsea won 2, Liverpool won 2 and 6 were drawn; the most recent, on 9 May 2026, was a 1–1 draw.