Premier LeagueMatchday 14Sunday 6 December 2026 ·

Everton vs Fulham prediction

39%
home win
predicted score
2–1
8.1% chance
31%
draw
30%
away win
Win probability: home 39%, draw 31%, away 30%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Everton slight favourites to beat Fulham at home in the Premier League on Sunday 6 December 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It gives Everton a 39% chance of winning, puts the draw at 31% and gives Fulham 30%.

GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Everton and 1.0 from Fulham, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 40% chance of three or more goals and a 47% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Everton keep a clean sheet in 35% of outcomes, Fulham in 29%.

Everton are 6th in the table with 16 points from 10 games; Fulham are 15th with 10. In their last five league games Everton took 7 points (DLLWW) and Fulham took 8 (LWWDD). This season Everton average 1.36 expected goals (xG) for and 1.44 against per game; Fulham average 1.44 for and 1.34 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Everton won 3, Fulham won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, finished Fulham 1–2 Everton, a win for Everton.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
11
10
6
2
<1
<1
1
12
14
7
2
<1
<1
2
8
8
4
1
<1
3
3
3
2
<1
<1
4
<1
1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Everton goalsColumns: Fulham goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–114.3%
1–011.5%
0–011.4%
0–19.6%
2–18.1%
2–07.8%
1 or more goals
89%
2 or more goals
68%
3 or more goals
40%
4 or more goals
20%
5 or more goals
8%
Both teams score
47%

GossipBall expects 2.3 goals in total: 1.23 for Everton and 1.05 for Fulham.

Winning margin

Explained
Everton by 3
4%
Everton by 2
12%
Everton by 1
22%
Draw
31%
Fulham by 3
3%
Fulham by 2
8%
Fulham by 1
18%

Each team's goals

Explained
Everton expected goals1.23
Fulham expected goals1.05
Everton keep a clean sheet35%
Fulham keep a clean sheet29%
Everton win without conceding24%
Fulham win without conceding18%
Everton score 2 or more35%
Fulham score 2 or more28%

Recent form

Everton
W v Coventry3–1 · 6 Nov
W @ Newcastle United1–0 · 2 Nov
L @ Arsenal0–2 · 24 Oct
L v Chelsea0–2 · 17 Oct
D @ Hull2–2 · 11 Oct
Fulham
D v Newcastle United1–1 · 7 Nov
D @ Aston Villa1–1 · 31 Oct
W @ Coventry1–0 · 24 Oct
W v Hull1–0 · 17 Oct
L @ Ipswich1–2 · 10 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Everton won 3, Fulham won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, finished Fulham 1–2 Everton, a win for Everton.

Fulham 1–2 Everton7 Feb 2026
Everton 2–0 Fulham8 Nov 2025
Fulham 1–3 Everton10 May 2025
Everton 1–1 Fulham26 Oct 2024
Fulham 0–0 Everton30 Jan 2024
Everton 0–1 Fulham12 Aug 2023

Season averages per game

EVEFUL
1.20
Goals
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.20
1.36
xG
1.44
1.44
xG against
1.34
14.0
Shots
14.0
5.0
On target
4.6
4.6
Corners
5.9
1.80
Yellow cards
1.90
40%
Clean sheets
30%
40%
Both score
60%
30%
3+ goals
30%

Questions and answers

Who will win Everton vs Fulham?

GossipBall gives Everton a 39% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Fulham 30%. GossipBall makes Everton slight favourites to beat Fulham at home.

What is the predicted score for Everton vs Fulham?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.2 for Everton, 1.0 for Fulham). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (14%), 1–0 (12%), 0–0 (11%).

Will both teams score in Everton vs Fulham?

GossipBall gives a 47% chance that both Everton and Fulham score.

Will there be three or more goals in Everton vs Fulham?

There is a 40% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.3 goals in total (1.2 for Everton, 1.0 for Fulham).

When is Everton vs Fulham?

Kick-off is Sunday 6 December 2026 at 14:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Everton and Fulham?

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Everton won 3, Fulham won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, finished Fulham 1–2 Everton, a win for Everton.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC