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Everton vs Liverpool prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Liverpool slight favourites to beat Everton away from home in the Premier League on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 12:00 UTC. It gives Everton a 28% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives Liverpool 45%.
GossipBall expects 1.1 goals from Everton and 1.5 from Liverpool, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 49% chance of three or more goals and a 54% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Everton keep a clean sheet in 22% of outcomes, Liverpool in 32%.
Everton are 6th in the table with 16 points from 10 games; Liverpool are 4th with 18. In their last five league games Everton took 7 points (DLLWW) and Liverpool took 9 (LWWLW). This season Everton average 1.36 expected goals (xG) for and 1.44 against per game; Liverpool average 1.58 for and 1.31 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Everton won 1, Liverpool won 7 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 19 Apr 2026, finished Everton 1–2 Liverpool, a win for Liverpool.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.14 for Everton and 1.50 for Liverpool.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Everton won 1, Liverpool won 7 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 19 Apr 2026, finished Everton 1–2 Liverpool, a win for Liverpool.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Everton vs Liverpool?
GossipBall gives Everton a 28% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Liverpool 45%. GossipBall makes Liverpool slight favourites to beat Everton away from home.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Liverpool?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.1 for Everton, 1.5 for Liverpool). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%).
Will both teams score in Everton vs Liverpool?
GossipBall gives a 54% chance that both Everton and Liverpool score.
Will there be three or more goals in Everton vs Liverpool?
There is a 49% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.1 for Everton, 1.5 for Liverpool).
When is Everton vs Liverpool?
Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 12:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Everton and Liverpool?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Everton won 1, Liverpool won 7 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 19 Apr 2026, finished Everton 1–2 Liverpool, a win for Liverpool.