Premier LeagueMatchday 11Sunday 22 November 2026 ·

Hull vs Brighton prediction

27%
home win
predicted score
1–2
9.1% chance
28%
draw
45%
away win
Win probability: home 27%, draw 28%, away 45%

Predict the score

How points work

Play the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.

Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Brighton slight favourites to beat Hull away from home in the Premier League on Sunday 22 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It gives Hull a 27% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives Brighton 45%.

GossipBall expects 1.1 goals from Hull and 1.5 from Brighton, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 47% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Hull keep a clean sheet in 23% of outcomes, Brighton in 34%.

Hull are 11th in the table with 11 points from 9 games; Brighton are 3rd with 19. In their last five league games Hull took 3 points (LDLDD) and Brighton took 12 (WWWLW). This season Hull average 1.01 expected goals (xG) for and 1.47 against per game; Brighton average 1.91 for and 1.45 against.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
9
10
8
4
1
<1
1
7
14
9
4
2
<1
2
5
7
5
2
<1
<1
3
2
2
2
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Hull goalsColumns: Brighton goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–113.5%
0–110.5%
1–29.1%
0–09.0%
0–28.4%
1–07.5%
1 or more goals
91%
2 or more goals
73%
3 or more goals
47%
4 or more goals
25%
5 or more goals
11%
Both teams score
52%

GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total: 1.08 for Hull and 1.46 for Brighton.

Winning margin

Explained
Hull by 3
2%
Hull by 2
8%
Hull by 1
16%
Draw
28%
Brighton by 3
6%
Brighton by 2
14%
Brighton by 1
22%

Each team's goals

Explained
Hull expected goals1.08
Brighton expected goals1.46
Hull keep a clean sheet23%
Brighton keep a clean sheet34%
Hull win without conceding14%
Brighton win without conceding25%
Hull score 2 or more29%
Brighton score 2 or more43%

Recent form

Hull
D v Ipswich2–2 · 31 Oct
D v Brentford1–1 · 25 Oct
L @ Fulham0–1 · 17 Oct
D v Everton2–2 · 11 Oct
L @ Newcastle United1–2 · 19 Sep
Brighton
W @ Manchester City1–0 · 31 Oct
L @ Liverpool0–2 · 25 Oct
W v Crystal Palace5–0 · 18 Oct
W @ Sunderland2–0 · 10 Oct
W v Arsenal3–0 · 19 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.

Season averages per game

HULBHA
1.22
Goals
2.67
1.11
Conceded
0.78
1.01
xG
1.91
1.47
xG against
1.45
10.7
Shots
16.6
3.2
On target
5.1
4.1
Corners
4.9
2.67
Yellow cards
2.22
33%
Clean sheets
67%
56%
Both score
22%
44%
3+ goals
56%

Questions and answers

Who will win Hull vs Brighton?

GossipBall gives Hull a 27% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Brighton 45%. GossipBall makes Brighton slight favourites to beat Hull away from home.

What is the predicted score for Hull vs Brighton?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.1 for Hull, 1.5 for Brighton). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (14%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%).

Will both teams score in Hull vs Brighton?

GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both Hull and Brighton score.

Will there be three or more goals in Hull vs Brighton?

There is a 47% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total (1.1 for Hull, 1.5 for Brighton).

When is Hull vs Brighton?

Kick-off is Sunday 22 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

Sign in to play Sign in
Prediction gamePlay now
Leagues
About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC