Premier LeagueMatchday 12Saturday 28 November 2026 ·

Ipswich vs Aston Villa prediction

22%
home win
predicted score
1–2
9.6% chance
23%
draw
55%
away win
Win probability: home 22%, draw 23%, away 55%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Aston Villa favourites to beat Ipswich away from home in the Premier League on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 17:30 UTC. It gives Ipswich a 22% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Aston Villa 55%.

GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Ipswich and 2.1 from Aston Villa, so goals look likely: there is a 65% chance of three or more goals and a 64% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Ipswich keep a clean sheet in 13% of outcomes, Aston Villa in 28%.

Ipswich are 14th in the table with 11 points from 10 games; Aston Villa are 10th with 13. In their last five league games Ipswich took 5 points (WLDDL) and Aston Villa took 9 (DWWDD). This season Ipswich average 1.33 expected goals (xG) for and 1.94 against per game; Aston Villa average 1.37 for and 1.86 against.

In 2 league meetings since 2024, Ipswich won 0, Aston Villa won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Feb 2025, was a 1–1 draw.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
4
6
8
5
3
1
1
4
10
10
7
3
1
2
3
6
6
4
2
<1
3
1
3
3
2
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Ipswich goalsColumns: Aston Villa goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–110.1%
1–29.6%
0–27.5%
1–36.7%
0–16.5%
2–26.2%
1 or more goals
96%
2 or more goals
86%
3 or more goals
65%
4 or more goals
43%
5 or more goals
25%
Both teams score
64%

GossipBall expects 3.4 goals in total: 1.28 for Ipswich and 2.08 for Aston Villa.

Winning margin

Explained
Ipswich by 3
2%
Ipswich by 2
6%
Ipswich by 1
13%
Draw
23%
Aston Villa by 3
10%
Aston Villa by 2
17%
Aston Villa by 1
21%

Each team's goals

Explained
Ipswich expected goals1.28
Aston Villa expected goals2.08
Ipswich keep a clean sheet13%
Aston Villa keep a clean sheet28%
Ipswich win without conceding8%
Aston Villa win without conceding24%
Ipswich score 2 or more36%
Aston Villa score 2 or more61%

Recent form

Ipswich
L v Bournemouth1–2 · 8 Nov
D @ Hull2–2 · 31 Oct
D v Nottingham Forest1–1 · 23 Oct
L @ Manchester City2–3 · 17 Oct
W v Fulham2–1 · 10 Oct
Aston Villa
D @ Manchester United4–4 · 8 Nov
D v Fulham1–1 · 31 Oct
W v Manchester City2–1 · 24 Oct
W @ Newcastle United1–0 · 17 Oct
D v Brentford2–2 · 10 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 2 league meetings since 2024, Ipswich won 0, Aston Villa won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Feb 2025, was a 1–1 draw.

Aston Villa 1–1 Ipswich15 Feb 2025
Ipswich 2–2 Aston Villa29 Sep 2024

Season averages per game

IPSAVL
1.50
Goals
1.40
2.00
Conceded
1.70
1.33
xG
1.37
1.94
xG against
1.86
10.9
Shots
11.9
3.9
On target
3.3
2.8
Corners
3.4
1.80
Yellow cards
2.00
0%
Clean sheets
20%
80%
Both score
60%
70%
3+ goals
60%

Questions and answers

Who will win Ipswich vs Aston Villa?

GossipBall gives Ipswich a 22% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aston Villa 55%. GossipBall makes Aston Villa favourites to beat Ipswich away from home.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich vs Aston Villa?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.3 for Ipswich, 2.1 for Aston Villa). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (8%).

Will both teams score in Ipswich vs Aston Villa?

GossipBall gives a 64% chance that both Ipswich and Aston Villa score.

Will there be three or more goals in Ipswich vs Aston Villa?

There is a 65% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.4 goals in total (1.3 for Ipswich, 2.1 for Aston Villa).

When is Ipswich vs Aston Villa?

Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 17:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Ipswich and Aston Villa?

In 2 league meetings since 2024, Ipswich won 0, Aston Villa won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Feb 2025, was a 1–1 draw.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC