Manchester City vs Fulham prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Manchester City clear favourites to beat Fulham at home in the Premier League on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 12:30 UTC. It gives Manchester City a 66% chance of winning, puts the draw at 21% and gives Fulham 13%.
GossipBall expects 2.1 goals from Manchester City and 0.9 from Fulham, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 57% chance of three or more goals and a 51% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Manchester City keep a clean sheet in 43% of outcomes, Fulham in 12%.
Manchester City are 2nd in the table with 21 points from 9 games; Fulham are 15th with 9. In their last five league games Manchester City took 9 points (WWWLL) and Fulham took 8 (DLWWD). This season Manchester City average 2.07 expected goals (xG) for and 1.27 against per game; Fulham average 1.52 for and 1.36 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Manchester City won 8, Fulham won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 Feb 2026, finished Manchester City 3–0 Fulham, a win for Manchester City.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–0 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total: 2.11 for Manchester City and 0.85 for Fulham.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 8 league meetings since 2022, Manchester City won 8, Fulham won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 Feb 2026, finished Manchester City 3–0 Fulham, a win for Manchester City.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Manchester City vs Fulham?
GossipBall gives Manchester City a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fulham 13%. GossipBall makes Manchester City clear favourites to beat Fulham at home.
What is the predicted score for Manchester City vs Fulham?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.1 for Manchester City, 0.9 for Fulham). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).
Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Fulham?
GossipBall gives a 51% chance that both Manchester City and Fulham score.
Will there be three or more goals in Manchester City vs Fulham?
There is a 57% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (2.1 for Manchester City, 0.9 for Fulham).
When is Manchester City vs Fulham?
Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 12:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Manchester City and Fulham?
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Manchester City won 8, Fulham won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 Feb 2026, finished Manchester City 3–0 Fulham, a win for Manchester City.