Premier LeagueMatchday 11Saturday 21 November 2026 ·

Manchester City vs Fulham prediction

66%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.8% chance
21%
draw
13%
away win
Win probability: home 66%, draw 21%, away 13%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Manchester City clear favourites to beat Fulham at home in the Premier League on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 12:30 UTC. It gives Manchester City a 66% chance of winning, puts the draw at 21% and gives Fulham 13%.

GossipBall expects 2.1 goals from Manchester City and 0.9 from Fulham, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 57% chance of three or more goals and a 51% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Manchester City keep a clean sheet in 43% of outcomes, Fulham in 12%.

Manchester City are 2nd in the table with 21 points from 9 games; Fulham are 15th with 9. In their last five league games Manchester City took 9 points (WWWLL) and Fulham took 8 (DLWWD). This season Manchester City average 2.07 expected goals (xG) for and 1.27 against per game; Fulham average 1.52 for and 1.36 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Manchester City won 8, Fulham won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 Feb 2026, finished Manchester City 3–0 Fulham, a win for Manchester City.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
6
4
2
<1
<1
1
10
10
4
1
<1
2
11
10
4
1
<1
3
8
7
3
<1
<1
4
4
4
2
<1
5
2
2
<1
<1
Rows: Manchester City goalsColumns: Fulham goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–0 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

2–011.5%
1–110.1%
1–010.1%
2–19.8%
3–08.1%
3–16.9%
1 or more goals
94%
2 or more goals
80%
3 or more goals
57%
4 or more goals
35%
5 or more goals
18%
Both teams score
51%

GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total: 2.11 for Manchester City and 0.85 for Fulham.

Winning margin

Explained
Manchester City by 3
12%
Manchester City by 2
20%
Manchester City by 1
23%
Draw
21%
Fulham by 3
1%
Fulham by 2
3%
Fulham by 1
9%

Each team's goals

Explained
Manchester City expected goals2.11
Fulham expected goals0.85
Manchester City keep a clean sheet43%
Fulham keep a clean sheet12%
Manchester City win without conceding37%
Fulham win without conceding6%
Manchester City score 2 or more62%
Fulham score 2 or more21%

Recent form

Manchester City
L v Brighton0–1 · 31 Oct
L @ Aston Villa1–2 · 24 Oct
W v Ipswich3–2 · 17 Oct
W @ Liverpool3–0 · 11 Oct
W v Sunderland5–3 · 20 Sep
Fulham
D @ Aston Villa1–1 · 31 Oct
W @ Coventry1–0 · 24 Oct
W v Hull1–0 · 17 Oct
L @ Ipswich1–2 · 10 Oct
D v Manchester United1–1 · 20 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Manchester City won 8, Fulham won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 Feb 2026, finished Manchester City 3–0 Fulham, a win for Manchester City.

Manchester City 3–0 Fulham11 Feb 2026
Fulham 4–5 Manchester City2 Dec 2025
Fulham 0–2 Manchester City25 May 2025
Manchester City 3–2 Fulham5 Oct 2024
Fulham 0–4 Manchester City11 May 2024
Manchester City 5–1 Fulham2 Sep 2023

Season averages per game

MCIFUL
2.22
Goals
1.00
1.11
Conceded
1.22
2.07
xG
1.52
1.27
xG against
1.36
15.3
Shots
14.3
5.6
On target
4.6
6.0
Corners
6.2
1.44
Yellow cards
2.11
33%
Clean sheets
33%
56%
Both score
56%
67%
3+ goals
33%

Questions and answers

Who will win Manchester City vs Fulham?

GossipBall gives Manchester City a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fulham 13%. GossipBall makes Manchester City clear favourites to beat Fulham at home.

What is the predicted score for Manchester City vs Fulham?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.1 for Manchester City, 0.9 for Fulham). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).

Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Fulham?

GossipBall gives a 51% chance that both Manchester City and Fulham score.

Will there be three or more goals in Manchester City vs Fulham?

There is a 57% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (2.1 for Manchester City, 0.9 for Fulham).

When is Manchester City vs Fulham?

Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 12:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Manchester City and Fulham?

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Manchester City won 8, Fulham won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 11 Feb 2026, finished Manchester City 3–0 Fulham, a win for Manchester City.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC