Español
Português
Arouca vs Rio Ave prediction
Predict the score
How points workPlay the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.
Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Arouca favourites to beat Rio Ave at home in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 15:30 UTC. It gives Arouca a 55% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Rio Ave 22%.
GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Arouca and 1.0 from Rio Ave, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 52% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Arouca keep a clean sheet in 36% of outcomes, Rio Ave in 17%.
Arouca are 5th in the table with 20 points from 11 games; Rio Ave are 17th with 7. In their last five league games Arouca took 10 points (DWWWL) and Rio Ave took 3 (LWLLL). This season Arouca average 1.13 expected goals (xG) for and 1.15 against per game; Rio Ave average 0.67 for and 1.72 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Arouca won 1, Rio Ave won 3 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, finished Rio Ave 0–3 Arouca, a win for Arouca.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–0 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total: 1.74 for Arouca and 1.02 for Rio Ave.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 8 league meetings since 2022, Arouca won 1, Rio Ave won 3 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, finished Rio Ave 0–3 Arouca, a win for Arouca.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Arouca vs Rio Ave?
GossipBall gives Arouca a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rio Ave 22%. GossipBall makes Arouca favourites to beat Rio Ave at home.
What is the predicted score for Arouca vs Rio Ave?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Arouca, 1.0 for Rio Ave). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–0 (11%), 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (10%).
Will both teams score in Arouca vs Rio Ave?
GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both Arouca and Rio Ave score.
Will there be three or more goals in Arouca vs Rio Ave?
There is a 52% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (1.7 for Arouca, 1.0 for Rio Ave).
When is Arouca vs Rio Ave?
Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 15:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Arouca and Rio Ave?
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Arouca won 1, Rio Ave won 3 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, finished Rio Ave 0–3 Arouca, a win for Arouca.