Benfica vs Famalicão prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Benfica clear favourites to beat Famalicão at home in the Primeira Liga on Monday 30 November 2026 at 20:15 UTC. It gives Benfica a 69% chance of winning, puts the draw at 19% and gives Famalicão 12%.
GossipBall expects 2.0 goals from Benfica and 0.7 from Famalicão, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 51% chance of three or more goals and a 43% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Benfica keep a clean sheet in 50% of outcomes, Famalicão in 13%.
Benfica are 2nd in the table with 28 points from 11 games; Famalicão are 10th with 13. In their last five league games Benfica took 12 points (LWWWW) and Famalicão took 9 (WLWLW). This season Benfica average 2.13 expected goals (xG) for and 0.77 against per game; Famalicão average 0.90 for and 1.25 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Benfica won 6, Famalicão won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, was a 2–2 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–0 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 2.03 for Benfica and 0.70 for Famalicão.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Benfica won 6, Famalicão won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, was a 2–2 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Benfica vs Famalicão?
GossipBall gives Benfica a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Famalicão 12%. GossipBall makes Benfica clear favourites to beat Famalicão at home.
What is the predicted score for Benfica vs Famalicão?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.0 for Benfica, 0.7 for Famalicão). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (13%), 2–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in Benfica vs Famalicão?
GossipBall gives a 43% chance that both Benfica and Famalicão score.
Will there be three or more goals in Benfica vs Famalicão?
There is a 51% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (2.0 for Benfica, 0.7 for Famalicão).
When is Benfica vs Famalicão?
Kick-off is Monday 30 November 2026 at 20:15 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Benfica and Famalicão?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Benfica won 6, Famalicão won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 May 2026, was a 2–2 draw.