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Casa Pia vs Sp Braga prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Sp Braga favourites to beat Casa Pia away from home in the Primeira Liga on Monday 30 November 2026 at 20:15 UTC. It gives Casa Pia a 17% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Sp Braga 60%.
GossipBall expects 0.8 goals from Casa Pia and 1.8 from Sp Braga, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 48% chance of three or more goals and a 46% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Casa Pia keep a clean sheet in 17% of outcomes, Sp Braga in 44%.
Casa Pia are 16th in the table with 8 points from 11 games; Sp Braga are 8th with 17. In their last five league games Casa Pia took 7 points (WLWLD) and Sp Braga took 6 (LLLWW). This season Casa Pia average 0.80 expected goals (xG) for and 1.64 against per game; Sp Braga average 1.36 for and 0.65 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Casa Pia won 3, Sp Braga won 5 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 23 Apr 2026, finished Casa Pia 0–1 Sp Braga, a win for Sp Braga.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 0–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 0.82 for Casa Pia and 1.76 for Sp Braga.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 8 league meetings since 2022, Casa Pia won 3, Sp Braga won 5 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 23 Apr 2026, finished Casa Pia 0–1 Sp Braga, a win for Sp Braga.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Casa Pia vs Sp Braga?
GossipBall gives Casa Pia a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sp Braga 60%. GossipBall makes Sp Braga favourites to beat Casa Pia away from home.
What is the predicted score for Casa Pia vs Sp Braga?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (0.8 for Casa Pia, 1.8 for Sp Braga). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 0–1 (14%), 0–2 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Will both teams score in Casa Pia vs Sp Braga?
GossipBall gives a 46% chance that both Casa Pia and Sp Braga score.
Will there be three or more goals in Casa Pia vs Sp Braga?
There is a 48% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (0.8 for Casa Pia, 1.8 for Sp Braga).
When is Casa Pia vs Sp Braga?
Kick-off is Monday 30 November 2026 at 20:15 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Casa Pia and Sp Braga?
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Casa Pia won 3, Sp Braga won 5 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 23 Apr 2026, finished Casa Pia 0–1 Sp Braga, a win for Sp Braga.