Español
Português
Maritimo vs Nacional prediction
Predict the score
How points workPlay the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.
Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall sees Maritimo against Nacional as too close to call in the Primeira Liga on Friday 27 November 2026 at 20:15 UTC. It gives Maritimo a 38% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Nacional 35%.
GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Maritimo and 1.2 from Nacional, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 43% chance of three or more goals and a 49% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Maritimo keep a clean sheet in 31% of outcomes, Nacional in 29%.
Maritimo are 15th in the table with 8 points from 10 games; Nacional are 13th with 10. In their last five league games Maritimo took 1 points (LDLLL) and Nacional took 6 (LLWLW). This season Maritimo average 0.94 expected goals (xG) for and 1.40 against per game; Nacional average 1.02 for and 1.62 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total: 1.22 for Maritimo and 1.18 for Nacional.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Maritimo vs Nacional?
GossipBall gives Maritimo a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Nacional 35%. GossipBall sees Maritimo against Nacional as too close to call.
What is the predicted score for Maritimo vs Nacional?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.2 for Maritimo, 1.2 for Nacional). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (11%).
Will both teams score in Maritimo vs Nacional?
GossipBall gives a 49% chance that both Maritimo and Nacional score.
Will there be three or more goals in Maritimo vs Nacional?
There is a 43% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total (1.2 for Maritimo, 1.2 for Nacional).
When is Maritimo vs Nacional?
Kick-off is Friday 27 November 2026 at 20:15 UTC.