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Maritimo vs Rio Ave prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Maritimo slight favourites to beat Rio Ave at home in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 18:00 UTC. It gives Maritimo a 43% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Rio Ave 31%.
GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from Maritimo and 1.2 from Rio Ave, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 47% chance of three or more goals and a 51% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Maritimo keep a clean sheet in 32% of outcomes, Rio Ave in 25%.
Maritimo are 15th in the table with 8 points from 10 games; Rio Ave are 17th with 7. In their last five league games Maritimo took 1 points (LDLLL) and Rio Ave took 3 (LWLLL). This season Maritimo average 0.94 expected goals (xG) for and 1.40 against per game; Rio Ave average 0.67 for and 1.72 against.
In 2 league meetings since 2022, Maritimo won 0, Rio Ave won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 May 2023, was a 2–2 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total: 1.39 for Maritimo and 1.15 for Rio Ave.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 2 league meetings since 2022, Maritimo won 0, Rio Ave won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 May 2023, was a 2–2 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Maritimo vs Rio Ave?
GossipBall gives Maritimo a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Rio Ave 31%. GossipBall makes Maritimo slight favourites to beat Rio Ave at home.
What is the predicted score for Maritimo vs Rio Ave?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.4 for Maritimo, 1.2 for Rio Ave). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in Maritimo vs Rio Ave?
GossipBall gives a 51% chance that both Maritimo and Rio Ave score.
Will there be three or more goals in Maritimo vs Rio Ave?
There is a 47% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total (1.4 for Maritimo, 1.2 for Rio Ave).
When is Maritimo vs Rio Ave?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 18:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Maritimo and Rio Ave?
In 2 league meetings since 2022, Maritimo won 0, Rio Ave won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 May 2023, was a 2–2 draw.