Porto vs Sporting CP prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Porto slight favourites to beat Sporting CP at home in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 20:30 UTC. It gives Porto a 41% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Sporting CP 34%.
GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from Porto and 1.2 from Sporting CP, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 47% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Porto keep a clean sheet in 30% of outcomes, Sporting CP in 26%.
Porto are 1st in the table with 33 points from 11 games; Sporting CP are 3rd with 24. In their last five league games Porto took 15 points (WWWWW) and Sporting CP took 10 (DWLWW). This season Porto average 2.16 expected goals (xG) for and 0.79 against per game; Sporting CP average 1.99 for and 0.78 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Porto won 3, Sporting CP won 2 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 9 Feb 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.36 for Porto and 1.21 for Sporting CP.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Porto won 3, Sporting CP won 2 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 9 Feb 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Porto vs Sporting CP?
GossipBall gives Porto a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sporting CP 34%. GossipBall makes Porto slight favourites to beat Sporting CP at home.
What is the predicted score for Porto vs Sporting CP?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.4 for Porto, 1.2 for Sporting CP). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (10%).
Will both teams score in Porto vs Sporting CP?
GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both Porto and Sporting CP score.
Will there be three or more goals in Porto vs Sporting CP?
There is a 47% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.4 for Porto, 1.2 for Sporting CP).
When is Porto vs Sporting CP?
Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 20:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Porto and Sporting CP?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Porto won 3, Sporting CP won 2 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 9 Feb 2026, was a 1–1 draw.