Español
Português
Rio Ave vs Casa Pia prediction
Predict the score
How points workPlay the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.
Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Rio Ave slight favourites to beat Casa Pia at home in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 6 December 2026 at 15:30 UTC. It gives Rio Ave a 42% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Casa Pia 31%.
GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Rio Ave and 1.1 from Casa Pia, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 42% chance of three or more goals and a 47% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Rio Ave keep a clean sheet in 35% of outcomes, Casa Pia in 28%.
Rio Ave are 17th in the table with 7 points from 11 games; Casa Pia are 16th with 8. In their last five league games Rio Ave took 3 points (LWLLL) and Casa Pia took 7 (WLWLD). This season Rio Ave average 0.67 expected goals (xG) for and 1.72 against per game; Casa Pia average 0.80 for and 1.64 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Rio Ave won 2, Casa Pia won 2 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 May 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.3 goals in total: 1.28 for Rio Ave and 1.06 for Casa Pia.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 8 league meetings since 2022, Rio Ave won 2, Casa Pia won 2 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 May 2026, was a 1–1 draw.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Rio Ave vs Casa Pia?
GossipBall gives Rio Ave a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Casa Pia 31%. GossipBall makes Rio Ave slight favourites to beat Casa Pia at home.
What is the predicted score for Rio Ave vs Casa Pia?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.3 for Rio Ave, 1.1 for Casa Pia). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (11%).
Will both teams score in Rio Ave vs Casa Pia?
GossipBall gives a 47% chance that both Rio Ave and Casa Pia score.
Will there be three or more goals in Rio Ave vs Casa Pia?
There is a 42% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.3 goals in total (1.3 for Rio Ave, 1.1 for Casa Pia).
When is Rio Ave vs Casa Pia?
Kick-off is Sunday 6 December 2026 at 15:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Rio Ave and Casa Pia?
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Rio Ave won 2, Casa Pia won 2 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 May 2026, was a 1–1 draw.