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Sporting CP vs Maritimo prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Sporting CP clear favourites to beat Maritimo at home in the Primeira Liga on Friday 4 December 2026 at 20:15 UTC. It gives Sporting CP a 87% chance of winning, puts the draw at 9% and gives Maritimo 4%.
GossipBall expects 3.3 goals from Sporting CP and 0.6 from Maritimo, so goals look likely: there is a 74% chance of three or more goals and a 44% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 4–0. Sporting CP keep a clean sheet in 54% of outcomes, Maritimo in 4%.
Sporting CP are 3rd in the table with 24 points from 11 games; Maritimo are 15th with 8. In their last five league games Sporting CP took 10 points (DWLWW) and Maritimo took 1 (LDLLL). This season Sporting CP average 1.99 expected goals (xG) for and 0.78 against per game; Maritimo average 0.94 for and 1.40 against.
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Sporting CP won 2, Maritimo won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 13 May 2023, finished Sporting CP 2–1 Maritimo, a win for Sporting CP.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 3–0 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.9 goals in total: 3.27 for Sporting CP and 0.61 for Maritimo.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 4 league meetings since 2021, Sporting CP won 2, Maritimo won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 13 May 2023, finished Sporting CP 2–1 Maritimo, a win for Sporting CP.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Sporting CP vs Maritimo?
GossipBall gives Sporting CP a 87% chance of winning, the draw 9% and Maritimo 4%. GossipBall makes Sporting CP clear favourites to beat Maritimo at home.
What is the predicted score for Sporting CP vs Maritimo?
GossipBall's predicted score is 4–0, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (3.3 for Sporting CP, 0.6 for Maritimo). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 3–0 (12%), 2–0 (11%), 4–0 (10%).
Will both teams score in Sporting CP vs Maritimo?
GossipBall gives a 44% chance that both Sporting CP and Maritimo score.
Will there be three or more goals in Sporting CP vs Maritimo?
There is a 74% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.9 goals in total (3.3 for Sporting CP, 0.6 for Maritimo).
When is Sporting CP vs Maritimo?
Kick-off is Friday 4 December 2026 at 20:15 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Sporting CP and Maritimo?
In 4 league meetings since 2021, Sporting CP won 2, Maritimo won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 13 May 2023, finished Sporting CP 2–1 Maritimo, a win for Sporting CP.