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Süper LigSaturday 7 November 2026 ·

Samsunspor vs Konyaspor prediction

44%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.1% chance
30%
draw
26%
away win
Win probability: home 44%, draw 30%, away 26%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Samsunspor slight favourites to beat Konyaspor at home in the Süper Lig on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:00 UTC. It gives Samsunspor a 44% chance of winning, puts the draw at 30% and gives Konyaspor 26%.

GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Samsunspor and 1.1 from Konyaspor, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 47% chance of three or more goals and a 53% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Samsunspor keep a clean sheet in 34% of outcomes, Konyaspor in 23%.

Samsunspor are 17th in the table with 4 points from 10 games; Konyaspor are 15th with 8. In their last five league games Samsunspor took 0 points (LLLLL) and Konyaspor took 5 (DDLWL). This season Samsunspor average 1.17 expected goals (xG) for and 1.93 against per game; Konyaspor average 1.16 for and 1.37 against.

In 6 league meetings since 2023, Samsunspor won 2, Konyaspor won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 5 Apr 2026, was a 2–2 draw.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
10
7
5
2
<1
<1
1
10
14
7
2
<1
<1
2
8
9
5
2
<1
<1
3
4
4
2
<1
<1
4
2
2
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Samsunspor goalsColumns: Konyaspor goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–114.2%
1–09.6%
0–09.6%
2–19.1%
2–08.5%
1–26.7%
1 or more goals
90%
2 or more goals
74%
3 or more goals
47%
4 or more goals
25%
5 or more goals
12%
Both teams score
53%

GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.48 for Samsunspor and 1.08 for Konyaspor.

Winning margin

Explained
Samsunspor by 3
6%
Samsunspor by 2
14%
Samsunspor by 1
22%
Draw
30%
Konyaspor by 3
2%
Konyaspor by 2
7%
Konyaspor by 1
15%

Each team's goals

Explained
Samsunspor expected goals1.48
Konyaspor expected goals1.08
Samsunspor keep a clean sheet34%
Konyaspor keep a clean sheet23%
Samsunspor win without conceding24%
Konyaspor win without conceding13%
Samsunspor score 2 or more43%
Konyaspor score 2 or more29%

Recent form

Samsunspor
L @ Başakşehir2–5 · 1 Nov
L v Amedspor1–2 · 24 Oct
L @ Kasımpaşa1–4 · 18 Oct
L v Trabzonspor0–3 · 10 Oct
L @ Erzurumspor0–1 · 20 Sep
Konyaspor
L v Galatasaray0–4 · 30 Oct
W v Gençlerbirliği2–0 · 25 Oct
L @ Amedspor0–1 · 17 Oct
D v Başakşehir0–0 · 11 Oct
D @ Kasımpaşa0–0 · 18 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

In 6 league meetings since 2023, Samsunspor won 2, Konyaspor won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 5 Apr 2026, was a 2–2 draw.

Samsunspor 2–2 Konyaspor5 Apr 2026
Konyaspor 1–3 Samsunspor2 Nov 2025
Konyaspor 0–1 Samsunspor16 Feb 2025
Samsunspor 0–1 Konyaspor14 Sep 2024
Konyaspor 3–0 Samsunspor12 May 2024
Samsunspor 1–1 Konyaspor21 Dec 2023

Season averages per game

SAMKON
1.00
Goals
0.60
2.60
Conceded
1.30
1.17
xG
1.16
1.93
xG against
1.37
13.3
Shots
10.8
3.3
On target
3.3
4.2
Corners
3.2
1.50
Yellow cards
2.20
10%
Clean sheets
40%
50%
Both score
20%
60%
3+ goals
30%

Questions and answers

Who will win Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?

GossipBall gives Samsunspor a 44% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Konyaspor 26%. GossipBall makes Samsunspor slight favourites to beat Konyaspor at home.

What is the predicted score for Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.5 for Samsunspor, 1.1 for Konyaspor). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (14%), 1–0 (10%), 0–0 (10%).

Will both teams score in Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?

GossipBall gives a 53% chance that both Samsunspor and Konyaspor score.

Will there be three or more goals in Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?

There is a 47% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.5 for Samsunspor, 1.1 for Konyaspor).

When is Samsunspor vs Konyaspor?

Kick-off is Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Samsunspor and Konyaspor?

In 6 league meetings since 2023, Samsunspor won 2, Konyaspor won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 5 Apr 2026, was a 2–2 draw.

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·