Netherlands · 2026–27
Eredivisie season simulation
3.8goals per game
31%home wins
52%favourites won
last season
last season
Playing out the rest of the Eredivisie season 10,000 times, GossipBall makes PSV Eindhoven title favourites at 50%, ahead of Feyenoord (44%). Willem II (99%), Den Haag (57%) and Zwolle (51%) are the likeliest to finish in the bottom three.
The rest of the season played out 10,000 times with GossipBall's probabilities.How this works
| Team | Exp. pts | Win league | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 74.6 | 50% | 99% | 0% |
| Feyenoord | 74.0 | 44% | 99% | 0% |
| Ajax | 64.2 | 4% | 79% | 0% |
| Twente | 62.3 | 2% | 67% | 0% |
| AZ Alkmaar | 59.4 | 0.7% | 44% | 0% |
| Utrecht | 48.2 | 0% | 3% | 1% |
| Groningen | 47.0 | 0% | 2% | 1% |
| Heerenveen | 46.8 | 0% | 2% | 1% |
| Go Ahead Eagles | 46.3 | 0.0% | 2% | 1% |
| NEC Nijmegen | 46.3 | 0.0% | 2% | 1% |
| Fortuna Sittard | 43.1 | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| Excelsior | 38.2 | 0% | 0% | 15% |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 37.4 | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| Cambuur | 36.1 | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| Telstar | 35.6 | 0% | 0% | 28% |
| Zwolle | 32.4 | 0% | 0% | 51% |
| Den Haag | 31.4 | 0% | 0% | 57% |
| Willem II | 18.6 | 0% | 0% | 99% |
Finishing position chances
Darker squares are likelier finishing positions; numbers are percentages.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 50 | 37 | 10 | |||||||||||||||
| Feyenoord | 44 | 40 | 12 | |||||||||||||||
| Ajax | 12 | 36 | 28 | 15 | ||||||||||||||
| Twente | 7 | 26 | 32 | 22 | 6 | |||||||||||||
| AZ Alkmaar | 15 | 26 | 33 | 12 | 6 | |||||||||||||
| Utrecht | 7 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 8 | |||||||||||
| Groningen | 5 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 6 | ||||||||||
| Heerenveen | 5 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 6 | ||||||||||
| Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 7 | |||||||||||
| NEC Nijmegen | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 7 | |||||||||||
| Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 7 | ||||||||||
| Excelsior | 6 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 6 | |||||||||
| Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 7 | ||||||||||
| Cambuur | 5 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 10 | ||||||||||
| Telstar | 7 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 11 | |||||||||||
| Zwolle | 5 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 22 | 26 | ||||||||||||
| Den Haag | 7 | 11 | 15 | 22 | 30 | |||||||||||||
| Willem II | 8 | 89 |